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How does Scott Brooks handle his rotation this season?

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Everybody is asking the question. Who does a shortened season benefit? And they’ll probably be asking it about 500 more times come the first official media availability for each team.

There are two schools of thought, both correct: 1) A shortened season helps older teams because the season is shorter and there are fewer games, meaning less opportunity for wear and tear over the long haul of 82 games. And 2) A shortened season helps younger teams because 66 games will be piled into four and a half months meaning back-to-back-to-backs, five games in six days and a lot of nights with heavy legs and ice baths.

This type of situation puts a lot of pressure on coaches. They’ve got to get creative with rotations and maybe even consider using the depth of their roster a bit more. If you’re team is sleepwalking into the fifth game in six nights with a roadie in Toronto, you might have to consider dusting off that seldom used rookie or token veteran on the end of your bench.

Which of course begs the question for Thunder fans: How will Scott Brooks handle this?

Know this first of all: Brooks is pretty stubborn when it comes to playing time and his rotation. He was strangely committed to a nine-man rotation in 2009-10 and never considered wavering from that. He was stuck with the same setup last season before Daequan Cook rose from the dead and hit a couple 3-pointers.

Stick with the 10-man, but judge minutes more judiciously? A shortened season means less minutes so you expand out and flex a little? Or because OKC’s young do you just let them go?

The Thunder are at that point where they should probably consider the postseason some in late February. Meaning, instead of committing to winning a road game in New Jersey, maybe let KD rest a little longer than usual in the fourth and see if Westbrook can shoulder the load for a win.

How did the rotation break down last season? Most of the time, like this:

Starters
Westbrook
Sefolosha
Durant
Ibaka
Perkins

Bench (in typical order of appearance)
Harden
Collison
Maynor
Mohammed
Cook

The minutes shook out like this: Durant 38.9, Westbrook 34.7, Ibaka 27.0, Harden 26.7, Thabo 25.9, Perkins 25.6, Collison 21.5, Mohammed 17.1, Maynor 14.6 and Cook 13.1.

But again, add a new faces in Reggie Jackson and the fact the season is compressed and you wonder if that would change. Harden will likely be starting meaning his minutes will probably go somewhere into the 30+ range. Thabo’s minutes will likely go into the 17-20 range. And there’s where Brooks would likely have a bit of wiggle room to fit in Jackson.

I see it more like this for 2011-12 as a rough estimate:

Starters
Westbrook — 33
Harden — 31
Durant — 36
Ibaka — 29
Perkins — 27

Bench
Collison — 22
Maynor — 18
Thabo — 16
Mohammed — 15
Cook — 13
Jackson — 8

That’s a rough guess, but I do see a good reason to trim down on minutes. It makes sense for a lot of reasons, but not just because the season will be more stressful.

Is it necessary to expand the rotation? I don’t think so. Last season we all wondered how Cole Aldrich would fit in. In the end, he didn’t. And that will likely again be the case for players like Jackson and Aldrich. Maybe there’s more opportunity to try and cut back during a fourth game in five nights during March, but I don’t see it happening much. The Thunder aren’t an aging team like the Celtics or Spurs. They’re built to handle this schedule.

But I do think Brooks will want to shuffle Jackson in and out of the rotation. If Harden does indeed start, there is the feeling to have a little more punch off the bench. Thabo, Maynor and Cook aren’t really giving you that, but Jackson could. The only way to find out if he’s capable is to play him. Maybe he’s ready for a shot, maybe not. We’ll see.

Playing time is a difficult thing to manage. You’re a better team when Durant and Westbrook and Harden are on the floor because they’re your best players. But a great asset to a good team is depth and Oklahoma City has some.

This will probably be a pretty challenging couple weeks for Brooks as he tries to figure out where and how to place minutes. Thabo can slide over and be more of a natural backup to Durant to help bring those minutes down some more. Playing Maynor more isn’t a problem. Same goes for Collison or Mohammed. The issue is how deep do you go and at what cost do you value how fresh and ready your team is compared to how good the group on the floor is.

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DustinMcWilliams 46 pts

Is it possible Thabo might start situationally? Against the Lakers or Heat or something like that, Thabo may be the better defensive choice.

GeoLogger 29 pts

WHere are at on the Thabo for Tony Allen as a done deal as of Friday night rumour? I love Thabo, but man....

Daniel Plainview 44 pts

GeoLogger That sounds impossible. TA is far superior

Daniel Plainview 44 pts

GeoLogger To wit, pull the trigger with extreme prejudice

Daniel Plainview 44 pts

GeoLogger Im on Hoopshype which is pretty up to date and I see nothing

GeoLogger 29 pts

I can't find anything yet either

beardjr 57 pts

not on topic but is it title or bust now, are we at that point

JimboSlice 489 pts

surprised not more buzz around Tayshaun Prince

f5alcon 998 pts

broston trades big baby for brandon bass.

kfmsooner 40 pts

Thaddeus Young to Nets...5/42...seems expensive.

kfmsooner 40 pts

Sorry, staying with Sixers, not Nets...numbers are the same

JimboSlice 489 pts

kfmsooner 5/42 isn't all that bad. I think they jumped the gun though and could've got him for less. Hollinger's saying there weren't any other real suitors competing to drive the price up.

OkcBaby 514 pts

Iam looking forward to Thabo healthy and playing with someone that knows how to pass. The hate for Thabo is a little overly excessive.

OkcBaby 514 pts

Thabo minutes might be a little more then 16 minutes if we dont pick up another piece. He could flex between the 2 and 3 position.

kfmsooner 40 pts

Harden 26.7 mpg, Thabo 25.9...uggghhhh....that's my biggest fear of Brooks. I like the 31 mpg listed next to James name as a projection...and that might be too little. KP health and Harden's mpg are the biggest storylines for me.

Daniel Plainview 44 pts

kfmsooner I cant compute anything less than a starters role and 32+ for Harden. I have far too many migraines from last years coaching follies

kfmsooner 40 pts

gnaygg 75 million for Cook!!!!! Wow, more than KD!!!!! What a bad deal for Presti!!!!

TaoMaas 212 pts

kfmsooner LOL He better hit a boatload of 3's!

kfmsooner 40 pts

gnaygg yes, just giving you a hard time...thanks for the news.

justin_mia 1352 pts

gnaygg $3.75M for Cook? Hmm.

kfmsooner 40 pts

justin_miagnaygg It's not too bad, and it's only 2 years. the deal will be off the books when JHarden and Ibaka's deals kick in.

f5alcon 998 pts

justin_miagnaygg well 2 years gets him off the books when ibaka and hardens extensions will kick in, so i gues that means he would be replaced with somebody on a rookie deal.

dancassidy35 464 pts

In my opinion, i think Harden is best coming off the bench with most minutes on team after KD and Russ.

kfmsooner 40 pts

dancassidy35 Not if it means Thabo starting...A lot of guys would be great on the bench, that doesn't mean that's where they should be.

justin_mia 1352 pts

kfmsoonerdancassidy35 Agreed. If it wasn't Thabo starting I would be happy to keep Harden on the bench. But having Russ as the only handler / passer in the starting unit isn't fair to him.

Rip Hamilton got bought out. He'd be an interesting get, but I'm guessing the Bulls will make a hard run at him.

kfmsooner 40 pts

justin_miadancassidy35 Hamilton would be a nice fit on the bench. I could see a Rip/Maynor bench duo working well. AK47 would be my first choice, but I think he will be too expensive.

kfmsooner 40 pts

justin_miadancassidy35 bought out...not amnestied...interesting

justin_mia 1352 pts

kfmsoonerdancassidy35 Guessing they amnesty Charlie V?

dancassidy35 464 pts

kfmsooner IMO, the hate on Thabo is a little ridiculous. I think that we will see a better and healthy Thabo this year.

kfmsooner 40 pts

dancassidy35 I hope it's just his health. I am not a fan of his game. He just doesn't bring anything to the table anymore. He's as bad an offensive player as Ben Wallace...

dancassidy35 464 pts

kfmsooner Wallace isn't a great comparison for an someone opposing Thabo haha. BW was the heart of those Pistons

kfmsooner 40 pts

dancassidy35 Offensively, i think he is a great comparison to BW. Neither player should ever get the ball in scoring position.

sammasaaron 289 pts

dancassidy35 Yeah, part of me thinks Brooks is going to start Thabo until/unless Presti trades him, sort of like the Green situation.

OBoymuzik 1850 pts

i think we need to do something similar to dallas's rotation if harden starts

for example first sub out westbrook and ibaka for maynor and collison(so KD and Harden are still on the floor) etc etc something in that nature

because i dont think thabo, naz, maynor, collion and cook would work out well at all

kfmsooner 40 pts

OBoymuzik I think Boston's rotation from their last championship run works well for us.

supreethm92 26 pts

I have a feeling that Brooks will want to work in some playing time for Aldrich in the 5th game in 6 night scenarios or in our back-to-back-to-back since he could use some playing time. It'll get harder and harder to keep playing Perkins because of injury history, Collison because he just lays it all out on the floor every time he steps on the court, and Mohammed because he's just plain old. Bringing in some fresh legs in Aldrich, considering his size, will probably help us stay strong on the boards at the beginning of the 4th of those really tiring games before you bring in Collison again.

f5alcon 998 pts

Well we won't use an 11 man rotation, but some bench players might play more.

We probably should give some guys a game off here and there to give them extra rest. like on the 26th give nazr the day off and play aldrich instead or play collison extra mins at center. So against not good teams some of the bench rotation sits and against good teams if we are winning the normal bench players play extended mins so the starters get extra rest.

Also if we are up by 20 with 7 mins left we should go full bench and save the starters mins.

Going off what royce expected compared to last year

Starters Westbrook — 33(34.7 -1.7) Harden — 31(26.7 +4.3) Durant — 36(38.9 -2.9) Ibaka — 29(27 +2) Perkins — 27(25.2 +1.8)

Bench Collison — 22(+0.5) Maynor — 18(14.6 +3.4) Thabo — 16(25.9 -9.9) Mohammed — 15(17.9 -2.9) Cook — 13(13.9 -0.9)

okcjim 50 pts

Great article. I think another part of the intrigue will be the actual substitution pattern. Harden, Cook and Maynor (along with Collison and Mohammad) developed quite a nice chemistry last year. I think part of the reason is that none of those guys dominate the ball as much as Westbrook and Durant so the ball moves a lot quicker against the other teams backups. I think they can still get that rotation a decent amount of minutes if Harden is the first one out at around the seven minute mark of the first quarter and he comes back in after the first quarter when KD and Russ take a rest. I'm excited to see how Brooks handles the rotation.

The other thing I'm excited to see if is Serge has been able to improve his footwork on D. He had awful foot work last year in the low post. That should be an easy fix with a lot of reps. If he can improve that aspect he can be a dominating all around defender. There is no way Nick Collison should be a better low post defender than Serge with his athleticism. Hopefully he got a little better in the offseason.

dancassidy35 464 pts

I think we'll see Cole early in the year and depending on how he plays, cut into Nazr's time

justin_mia 1352 pts

I don't think Brooks should go into this season with minutes conservation in mind except for maybe Perkins and Collison (who always seems to get hurt to start a season). Most of the young stars in the 1999 shortened season played their accustomed minutes. Iverson, Payton, Kidd, Finley, Webber, Duncan all played ~40 minutes a game or more. So I wouldn't limit Durant's minutes, and probably not Westbrook's either unless they were visibly wearing down.

GeoLogger 29 pts

justin_mia in that shortened season did they compress the schedule as much as this? I don't remember

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