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Tuesday Bolts – 5.31.11

We have 30 days until a lockout and Ken Berger of CBSSports.com says there’s momentum, but not much real progress: “As for comparing this to the NBA’s ’98 or ’05 negotiations, the NBA is in a different place than it was then. In ’98, salaries were out of control and the game was about to embark on the uncertain journey of life without Michael Jordan. In ’05, owners were looking for tweaks to the ’99 agreement. Now, they are looking to permanently and dramatically alter the landscape of the sport.”

Berry Tramel, like all of us, is worried about how a lockout would affect OKC: “But in Miami, Year 2 of LeBron? In Dallas, coming off, at worst, its second West title ever? In Orlando, for what could be Dwight Howard’s final year in the kingdom? In Chicago, where homegrown Derrick Rose holds court? In Memphis, where after 10 years in town the Grizzlies have been discovered? In Oklahoma City, where watching the Thunder 99 nights a year quickly became standard operating procedure? Say it ain’t so. A season we wish could start early appears to be dead set on starting late, if at all.”

Wayne Winston writes that Nick Collison is an elite player: “These numbers show how well Thunder played per 48 minutes (adjusted for strength of opponent) in different situations. For example, looking at the Durant column we see with Nick and KD in Thunder played 13 ppg better than average and with Nick out the great KD in OKC was only 4 points better than average. With Collsion [sic] and KD out OKC was a horrible 17 ppg worse than average and with Collison in and KD out OKC was +6 ppg. You can see that putting Nick in invariably made the Thunder better. Overall with Nick in Thunder were +10.6 ppg and with Nick out only +1.4. While Adjusted +/- may be fairly noisy over the course of a season, these numbers show that during his time on the court Nick is an elite player.”

KD loves his mom.

Ryan DeGama of Celtics Hub writing about the importance of shot creation: “If championship teams almost always require two superstar players, it seems increasingly crucial to have at least one of those two be a shot-creating scorer with a great handle. That’s not, by the way, an argument for late-game clearouts for your scorer to go one-on-one (or one-on-five), but a reflection of the difficulty of generating good looks against elite NBA defenses that routinely choke off individual offensive stars.”

Dirk is great no matter what happens.

The Dallas Morning News on the announcing during the playoffs: “Bulletin: According to Mel Bracht, who patrols the sports media highway for Oklahoma City’s Oklahoman newspaper, viewers in his market complained the ESPN broadcasts were tilted in favor of the big-market Mavericks. It happens in every playoff series in every sport. It happens to Joe Buck and Troy Aikman, et al., after almost every NFL game. Hometown viewers believe their team has been slighted by the national broadcast.”

Nick Collison: “I always worked hard in the weight room. I’ve had that since college. Over time, the accumulative affects of that make a difference in your body. My body fat is lower than it was in college, which is strange for a 30-year-old guy. It’s about forming habits and it becomes easy because it’s your habit now. You live and take care of your body.”

This is my first time in Miami. I do not fit in.

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@jocro
I wish. That kid is a baller. But I highly doubt we have the pieces to trade high enough to get him. Nate plus the 24th pick isn't going to get you into the top 10... Of course with Khan's addiction for drafting point guards, we could probably trade Nate Robinson, Royal Ivey, and two white chocolate macadamia nut cookies for any pick or group of picks we wanted from the T-Wolves.

@ kreese29
From a talent, positional and upside perspective I totally agree with the Honeycutt selection. I am not sold on how he meshes with team chemistry though. That's why the Harden pick was so fantastic, people could have made solid arguments about Tyreke Evans, Ricky Rubio, etc but in terms of team chemistry Harden was by far the best lottery pick. I certainly could be wrong, I had similar reservations about Cook.

Well the point I was making is that those things won't get fixed before the season starts, so he'll either A) play and hurt us because the things he does well we have other players who do them better he'll be taking time away from or B) end up on the 66ers and be another project player. In the second scenario, you may as well get someone with a bigger upside if you're not expecting the guy to contribute anyway.

I might be reaching but I'd love to see Presti work some magic to trade out of this draft, get Okur, and end up with 2 first rounders next year.

Hmmm... my wordpress login thinks I'm Jimbo Slice.

Anyone else getting account errors?

How many times has our 2nd unit played without a Durant or Westbrook or even harden? One of those guys will always be out there. All the things you point about his weakness all that can be fix or coached. I just don't to see us draft another big man.

I still want to see us trade up to nab Alec Burks. I think he could be a good replacement for Harden off the bench, even if he has less range.

If we are to draft a Bruin I'm going with Malcholm Lee before Honeycutt imo.

@ kreese29
But is Honeycutt really a player that will fit the role he's being asked to play well? He's a good on ball defender, but bad off the ball. He makes smart plays on offense, but is a weak shooter, ball-handler, and doesn't finish very well at the rim. I feel like if we get him and play him right away, we'll end up with a second unit with the same problems our first unit had this year.. without a Durant or Westbrook to save them.

Fellas I really think we should get Honeycutt.we've alread did the bigam thing the last two drafts. If we need or want a big man let's go get okur

I wish there was more to be excites for in the draft as far as possible picks.... I think that's why a part of me is so badly hoping we get a decent cheap FA or trade for a steal of a deal.... If one of those things were to happen it would hold me over for awhile.. This possible lock out has me depressed as hell to be 100% honest

@ DSMok1
In this draft, that won't be a problem. Given the overall weakness of the draft there is a lot more risk than immediate reward. Yesterday people were getting excited about Charles Jenkins, who despite the Draft express comparisons, is like a stronger Eric Maynor. He also fits into the mold of guaranteed immediate contributor with little upside.

The Khan jokes on sbnation's mock draft are pure gold. "The Bobcats pick 9, 19, and 39. Khan has great interest in the all 9's strategy" lol.

Another one I'm not really sold on that people seem high on is Honeycutt. Does he fit us on paper? Yeah, but dude's a softy who can't shoot. I hate to say it, but watching him the first comparison I thought of multiple times was Thabo Sefalosha...

Don't get me wrong I have some interest in Nogueira, especially if the players available around 24 are as bad as they look like they will be in most of the mock drafts, but personally I'd rather see us trade out of this draft altogether for a pick or two in next year's draft. Our team has a great 9 man rotation right now and a good defensive specialist, so if we're going to draft a pick with potential for the distant future, why not wait a year and get 2 picks who both have more potential for the nearer future than we could've gotten this year?

At #24, it's still probably better to make a risky, high-upside possible pick than to pick a low-risk, low-upside pick, for OKC. I know OKC is a contender, but right now you're still trying to build for the long-haul. The older teams should pick the low-risk players that can contribute immediately, in their title window.

And if you're a bad team, pick risky for sure.

Unless you're a GM with low job security--that's a reason mediocre teams often stay mediocre.

I am sold on Lucas Nogueira based solely on his ESPN NBA Draft Machine photo.

http://espn.go.com/nba/draft2011/features/draftmac...

haha ironic this is the same dude I posted about during March Madness with all the Kenneth Faried talk. I'm not sure if I'm sold on a project big man during the first round though. Guess it depends on who's out there when 24 rolls around.

Tom Ziller at SBNation's latest mock draft:
http://www.sbnation.com/nba-draft/2011/5/31/219831...

He has OKC taking Lucas Nogueira, C, Brazil

That would be interesting.

Here's DraftExpress's take on him:

Lucas's appeal starts with his incredible physical tools, as a 7-footer with a freakishly long 7'6” wingspan, and excellent mobility for a player his size. At this stage, his physical talents manifest themselves mainly in some jaw-dropping blocked shots, rebounds, and dunks from offensive rebounds, cutting to open spaces, and running the floor. His body is still very thin and weak, but that should come in time with the proper work ethic.

Lucas's offensive skill set is still very raw, but he shows glimpses of some promise, especially in his feel for the game, occasionally throwing some very impressive passes. He is still very limited as a scorer and has virtually no post game, but he has decent touch on his shot and is an outstanding finisher around the basket thanks to his physical tools.

http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Lucas-Nogueira...

I can agree with Nick being an elite player. He's no superstar by any stretch of the imagination, but he's one of the smartest, most helpful players to have on your team there is. I really would hate to see a lockout though.

So anyway, what new draft speculation is out there today?