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KD was the clear MVP favorite coming in – what happened?

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At CBSSports.com today, I wrote on Kevin Durant and what seemed to derail his golden path to the MVP.

Kevin Durant had already accomplished the hard part. He had the buzz.

The first step in winning basketball most prestigious individual award is building that buzz. With a fantastic season where he became the youngest scoring champion in history, led his surprising Thunder to 50 wins, placed second behind LeBron for MVP and then put a young Team USA squad on his back in Turkey for the first World Championship gold medal in 16 years, Durant had everyone talking.

In fact, coming into the season, Durant was the overwhelming pick by NBA general managers to win the MVP. Most fans were taking him, especially with the way LeBron James damaged his image and his importance by going to Miami to join Dwyane Wade.

But all that buzz is actually what sort of betrayed Durant. Expectations for him were taken to an entirely new level. He averaged 30.1 points per game on awesome percentages last season, so the assumption was he’d top that this year.

He didn’t. But it’s not like he was bad, or even average. He was terrific. He’s about to win his second straight scoring title averaging 27.8 points per game on 46 percent shooting. That’s not all that bad, you know. Really, the only difference from this year and last year’s scoring numbers is that Durant took almost 150 fewer free throws. Give him 135 more makes from the stripe and he averages 29.6 ppg, much closer to on par with last season.

Most importantly though, his team has gone from fun 50-win upstart to a 55-win legitimate contender in the Western Conference. In terms of resume, Durant has a solid one. Probably an MVP-worthy one.

Bur for some reason, he just sort of got overlooked. Most don’t even have Durant in their top five. It’s likely he’ll finish sixth, behind Dirk Nowitzki. Maybe it was because of his semi-slow start. Maybe it’s because teammate Russell Westbrook stole some of the spotlight. Maybe it’s because he didn’t reach the bar set for him in the offseason, because he didn’t live up to the hype. Whatever the case, he sort of was forgotten, despite having a season almost on par to the campaign that had him as runner-up to LeBron.

That’s the thing about being the favorite though. People expect things. Durant was expected to take his game to another level and despite his team being better with Durant still doing very good things, he wasn’t as good as we thought. That made all the difference.

When he was showered with all that offseason praise for announcing his extension on Twitter, for winning gold and for being the frontrunner for MVP, there was some worry that it might have an effect on Durant. Some wondered if it was possible for it all to get in his head a bit. But KD said it well back in September at the Thunder’s media day.

“I feel like the same guy I was in high school. I’ve got a car and a driver’s license, but other than that, it’s the same.” And a giant house, and a shoe, and millions of dollars… but let’s not get picky here because I see his point.

When he was asked about NBA GMs picking him as the preseason MVP he said, “I mean, it’s cool but it doesn’t really mean too much.” Don’t let him fool you entirely — he would very much have liked to win. But it was never his focus.

Durant said a month ago that the media tends to gravitate toward the new guy. He was that guy last season leading a surprise team to the postseason. This year, it’s Derrick Rose. Having that fresh face really is a pretty big advantage. Rose wasn’t pegged by anyone as a preseason MVP candidate. So his awesome season seemed to come out of nowhere, making it feel like he really elevated his level of play this year (which he has of course). Durant, on the other hand, appeared to regress. How can a guy be an MVP when he wasn’t as good as last year?

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not arguing for Kevin Durant here. He’s not this season’s MVP. But I also don’t think he really did anything to entirely remove his name from the discussion.

Winning the MVP really was never on Durant’s mind though. Before the season he said, “I don’t set individual goals like that. The only goals I set for myself is to try to have a better season than I did last year. That’s about it. I don’t have to score more points, or get more rebounds or get more assists. But if I got better throughout the season is how I determine if I had a better season than last year.”

Well, he didn’t score more points or get more rebounds or get more assists. But his team went from novelty future winner to a contender right now. His team went from good to very, very good. From scary to downright terrifying. Somehow, I think that’s the goal Durant had all along. So he can live with his name slipping from the MVP talk.

And before you get too wrapped up in thinking Durant had a “down” year or disappointed in some way by not fulfilling all the hype, remember this: He’s only 22 years old. He’s just finishing up his fourth season in the NBA. He still has a lot, and I mean a lot, of time left. His MVP will come, but like he said, that’s not really what he’s thinking about.

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@Jax Raging Bile Duct
Good point. Those guys are uncanny.

John :

gr8ball83 :
@Mark!
according to Hollinger’s #s Denver is just as likely to make the Finals as the Lakers, and also 2.5 times more likely to win it all than the Thunder.

More ammunition for those of us who don’t think stats tell the whole story

Bingo! Winner, winner chicken dinner

kfmsooner :
Our starting 5 should be:
Brooks
Cheeks
Jeff Green
Grant Long
Krstic

What about sef? Haha. Couldn't resist.

It's because he can't lift weights. If he could bench 275 lbs. He would win it every year

@John

If you're looking for realistic playoff performance indications that include statistical analysis, keep your eye on Vegas, not Hollinger. Vegas stands to make money on it's analysis, and they do nearly every single time.

gr8ball83 :
@Mark!
according to Hollinger’s #s Denver is just as likely to make the Finals as the Lakers, and also 2.5 times more likely to win it all than the Thunder.

More ammunition for those of us who don't think stats tell the whole story

@Mark!
according to Hollinger's #s Denver is just as likely to make the Finals as the Lakers, and also 2.5 times more likely to win it all than the Thunder.

http://espn.go.com/nba/playoffs/predictions

Eight tries to get the Thunder are champs. Much easier than last year...

would be interesting if the final records of 2,3, and 4 in the West are all 56-26

kfmsooner :Our starting 5 should be:
BrooksCheeksJeff GreenGrant LongKrstic

And Green and Krstic would still have the worst advanced stats, somehow.

kfmsooner :@ThunderUp35

Me too. NRob hero mode, baby! Can we sign Tibor for one game? lol

I want to see NRob dunk tonight, on a fast break. I bet that'd make the arena go crazy haha

@TempBoy Brandon
tweet it at him instead

My comment on DM's banner post got deleted. All I said was, "A banner just got raised in my pants." C'mon, that's funny!

From an email sent out by the team:

REGULAR SEASON CLOSER
Tonight is the final game of the regular season, as the Thunder takes on the Milwaukee Bucks at the Oklahoma City Arena. Tipoff is at 7 p.m., but make sure you’re in your seats by the start of the National Anthem so you won’t miss a special presentation marking a Thunder team achievement.

Sure sounds like a banner. :)

I think the "special presentation" should be @ecambage walking up to Kevin and giving him a big kiss.
8)

@innocent bystander
Yep, you beat me to it. Pretty exciting.

Speaking of raising banners, does anyone know if they'll be displaying those huge banners of the players on the Cox building like they did last year in the playoffs? That was pretty amazing. Also, I hope everyone starts displaying their Thunder car flags too!

@innocent bystander
DarnellMayberry Darnell Mayberry
Now on Thunder Rumblings: The Thunder Could Raise A Banner Tonight -- http://bit.ly/gFDXdL

so not a total waste to go to the game :)

By the way, great write-up, Royce. I think you pretty much nailed it.

Mayberry says tonight will be a banner night

Durant's number of 30+ and 40+ point nights were down by a third from last season. That probably had something to do with the fall from MVP talk prominence.

For the regular season I was glad he wasn't obsessed with lots of those kind of nights. For the playoffs... it might be a different story.

Our starting 5 should be:

Brooks
Cheeks
Jeff Green
Grant Long
Krstic

@ThunderUp35
Me too. NRob hero mode, baby! Can we sign Tibor for one game? lol

Sammy :Bogut and Brockman are both out, btw.
Mayberry’s twitter:Brooks: “We’re definitely not taking it easy. We’re going to play to give us a good flow, a good rhythm to our team. We want to keep… playing good basketball. With that being said, I’m not probably going to play a lot of minutes. I don’t see anybody getting… in the high 30s, 40s. But I believe in our guys. If the guys coming off the bench get an extra 8 or 9 minutes I expect them 2 play well… and I expect us to play well as a unit. So I’m not going into the game thinking that this is a night off.”

So Scott Brooks isn't going to be playing a lot of minutes? Damn, I was looking forward to Brooks' "Hero Mode" with the high flying jams, and what-not.

I want to see NRob get some minutes tonight!

@Sammy
Proper attitude, I'd say. Just don't double Jennings. Let him score his inefficent points and keep everyone else in check.

@Mark!
To me, it's a mindset thing. Players don't get as amped up, not sure what to expect, and sometimes don't focus. It can cause problems and possibly injury. If you're not trying to win the game (resting starters), why not really rest them and let the backups play? What good will come from KD and the rest playing 20 minutes? I can't really think of anything positive, only the scary negative...

innocent bystander :

Sammy :
RT@Darnell Mayberry
Scott Brooks said he won’t play his regulars their normal minutes tonight. The starters will start, but don’t expect 35-40 minute

tanking to keep the #4 spot?

Our bench could win easily

Bogut and Brockman are both out, btw.

Mayberry's twitter:
Brooks: "We're definitely not taking it easy. We're going to play to give us a good flow, a good rhythm to our team. We want to keep... playing good basketball. With that being said, I'm not probably going to play a lot of minutes. I don't see anybody getting... in the high 30s, 40s. But I believe in our guys. If the guys coming off the bench get an extra 8 or 9 minutes I expect them 2 play well... and I expect us to play well as a unit. So I'm not going into the game thinking that this is a night off."

KD said a while back that he missed his chance to win MVP.

I think KD has always done a great job of getting his points within the flow of the game rather than going into hero mode. This simple truth is that he is no longer on a team that needs that sort heroics on a nightly basis. So players like Rose get all the love because they have to carry a load (like the Bulls would suddenly be a sub .500 team without him lol).

People don't seem to realize what else KD does, blocking shots, defending, stretching the floor..... oh well.

Chris Tomasson: For Nuggets fans, first playoff game at Oklahoma City or Dallas either at 8:30 p.m. CDT (local time) Saturday or Sunday or noon CDT Sunday.

Read more: http://hoopshype.com/twitter_media.html#ixzz1JQpFK...

So...last game Saturday or first game Sunday...

I know this is from the bolts but its killing me when someone says Denver is going to beat the Thunder because they have been playing very well. I could be wrong but our record is 19-6 and theirs is 17-6... Pretty sure we have had a better record since the trade deadline, and thats including the losses to Orlando and LA without any of our new players. Plus we beat them TWICE in that span.... AHHHHHH, ok rant over

@Sammy

@kfmsooner
Ugh. That's what I least wanted to happen. I'm with kfmsooner. I think it'd be a fun, cool way to honor how great our bench has been to be able to see them announced as the starters tonight in pregame. Oh well. Still pumped for tonight.

@kfmsooner

Why one or the other? I think its fine to play them some. They can go out, get their blood pumping and feel good going into the post-season. The crowd wants to cheer them; it's the last game a lot of fans will get to see them live this season.

Playing them longer just exposes you to more potential injury risk.

Sammy :
RT@Darnell Mayberry
Scott Brooks said he won’t play his regulars their normal minutes tonight. The starters will start, but don’t expect 35-40 minute

tanking to keep the #4 spot?
;)

@Sammy
Big news...I wish he would sit them. Either play them normal minutes or sit them...But, not that big of a deal...

RT@Darnell Mayberry
Scott Brooks said he won't play his regulars their normal minutes tonight. The starters will start, but don't expect 35-40 minute

Hes wasnt playing well at the beginning of the year and he has Westbrook

what happened?

early in the season:

a) KD struggled with this shot
b) Westbrook emerged
c) Thunder regressed defensively
d) Thunder won a bunch of close games (low point differential)
e) Derrick Rose

a & b made Kevin seem less important
c & d made the team seem less impressive
e changed the narrative

c & d have disappeared since THE TRADE, but by that point, the Rose narrative had been set

Nick fills the comedy and white boy quota, all in one fail swoop. Back to acne though, some interviews I have to fight the urge to reach out through my television to pop me a superstar pimple. Anyone feel me on that one. Oh I get it, blasphemous talk. If Nenad can h=get 1284 posts about balding, I had to give KD one for the volcanoes.

@gr8ball83
That's pretty awesome...Nick is such a good dude.

This is why its important to have Collison on this team:

nickcollison4 Nick Collison
Im now the proud CEO of a slowpitch softball team of OKC thunder ballboys. Here are our jerseys http://yfrog.com/gzpuhyaj

It's because KD doesn't do fashion photoshoots for GQ like Rose does....
http://blogs.suntimes.com/sportsprose/derrick-rose...

His usage went down and he's shooting more three pointers (and jumpers in general).