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Here comes KD

Layne Murdoch/NBAE/Getty Images

A lot was made of Kevin Durant’s seemingly slow start where he still led the NBA in scoring, but his percentages were a little lower than the ridiculous numbers we’re accustomed to seeing. I tried to make the point that his start to this season was very similar to last season’s first month and that there’s no reason to fret.

And really, if you look back to last year where KD was absolutely amazing, you’ll notice he’s on a pretty similar path this season.

LAST SEASONTHIS SEASON
NOVEMBER27.7 ppg (46.3 FG%, 23.7 3P%)26.8 ppg (42.6 FG%, 23.3 3P%)
DECEMBER29.7 ppg (49.3 FG%, 38.6 3P%)29.4 ppg (51.7 FG%, 41.1 3P%)
JANUARY32.1 ppg (51.9 FG%, 53.2 3P%)30.5 ppg (47.5 FG%, 35.2 3P%)

I remember Durant saying during the first HORSE competition he won in 2009 after heating up late that he’s a slow cooker. Judging by the numbers, that’s true in real basketball too.

KD’s January this time around wasn’t quite as spectacular as last year’s, but this time his team has won more games and he’s had some pretty big moments. Still though, he seems to be the forgotten MVP candidate. He’s leading the league in scoring, his team is first in the Northwest and fourth in the West, yet he’s not even in the top 10 in ESPN’s award tracker but has moved up to No. 5 on NBA.com’s.

A lot of this is because teammate Russell Westbrook (rightly) stole some of the spotlight with his fantastic start to the season. And people love the new story. Westbrook was the new face, the fresh blood in the conversation and he was fun to talk about. Durant may have been the near unanimous favorite before the season but a lot of that was because I think people wanted him to win it. KD was riding a wave of summer momentum that saw him tweet about his extension, win a gold medal and become some weird anti-LeBron.

But the season is long and as this thing has gone along, Durant is now positioning himself and his numbers right back in the spot they were last season where he finished as runner-up for the MVP. He’s off to a pretty nice start in February as he dropped 43 on 14-19 shooting last night against the Hornets and if his team keeps up its pace and wins 53-56 games, there’s no doubt Durant’s name will be where it should.

Last week after his incredible 47-point, 18-rebound effort against the Timberwolves, Michael Wilbon and Tony Kornheiser talked about KD’s MVP chances and both had him second in their mind behind Rose. Today, SI’s Zach Lowe in making a point about KD’s MVP candidacy, brought up the excellent point of how he’s guiding one of the league’s best offenses.

Awards like MVP are all about hype and right now, players like Amar’e Stoudemire, Derrick Rose and LeBron James make for really nice stories. But KD is playing it cool and smooth right now as he brings around his numbers to the level we expected. If Oklahoma City keeps winning and Durant stays on the path he followed last season, everything will line up for KD to be right in the middle of the conversation in April.

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@f5alcon
i didnt even see the game tonight,lol, lebron 51/11/8

i just dont see how rose will keep up the voting momentum to the end of the season, if lebron drops a few big games he will win again.

You argued my statement. Iam not really arguing with you.

okc baby :@justinYou might be sick then

Nice counter argument. :)

yall watching this Miami Orlando game? Who yall got winning?

http://h2hhombre.wordpress.com/

@justin
You might be sick then

If anyone from the Celtics should have been dropped, I'da gone with Ray Ray.

@justin
The whole 'too many stars/not enough stars' thing is kinda irrelevant to me. [Yes, I know, the whole thing is irrelevant]. I just think individuals that perform like they belong on the team should make the team over less qualified players, regardless of what their teammates did.

Yea having four celtics is a little too much there should be 3 players to a team max in my opinion for the all-star game oh well. Russ and KD will represent OKC well!

http://h2hhombre.wordpress.com/

And if the argument against Boozer is playing time, I'll go with Tas Melas' pick of Bogut.

Sammy :Boozer should have gotten in over JJ. Garnett selection is fine.

I just don't like four Celtics in the game.

okc baby :@justinRose

So Derrick Rose is leading the Bull to the #1 defense in the league (19th in the league in offense, BTW).

Sorry, I don't buy that. Rose is great, but the Bulls offense stinks. It's their defense that has carried them, and while Rose is improved, he's no defensive lynch pin. I'll be sick if Rose wins MVP.

Boozer should have gotten in over JJ. Garnett selection is fine.

okc baby :Rose might actually get MVP. Bulls record is what it is because of him.

Defense.

I think Boozer should have gotten in over Garnett.

Rose might actually get MVP. Bulls record is what it is because of him.

Well this All-Star nod likely just drove up the price of Russell's extension this Summer. But I'm still happy he made it.

The experience he'll gain pow-wowing with the league's elite players during All-Star weekend can only be a good thing for Mr. Westbrook.

"KDthunderup@russwest44.....congrats
on ur first all star selection bro bro"

4 Celtics really don't deserve to be on the squad, but I suppose the East has a lot less competition. East roster is up on ESPN already.

@Sammy
yeah i posted before i read the nash comment

i hope russ durant and blake play together justso we can get a glimpse of what could have been.

Oops, I didn't read the comments above. Guess Woj broke the news early. =)

@f5alcon
I'm just reporting what I'm hearing (the first paragraph is a tweet from A Woj, who'd usually right about this stuff). Nash makes a ton of sense. League loves its veteran all-stars and it's not like Nash doesn't deserve it.

Russ just made the All-Star team! Annoucement just came down on TNT! Well-deserved, congrats Russ!!!

@Sammy
love or aldridge probably as replacement, duncan/gasol play center

@WojYahooNBA Phoenix's Steve Nash is a strong favorite to replace the injured Yao Ming on the Western Conference roster, sources told Y! Sports

Can't argue with that really, but it's too bad about Love.

Go Russ! Okc Lakers and spurs all wit two all stars.. dam Celtics got 4?

Is that official, I thought that didnt announce until 7?

So no Love, Aldridge, Z-Bo etc. Wonder what Stern does re: Yao since coaches voted in both Duncan and Gasol.

Also: yay Westbrook.

@WojYahooNBA Y! Sources: Western Conference All-Star reserves: T. Duncan, P. Gasol, R. Westbrook, B. Griffin, M. Ginobili, D. Nowitzki, and D. Williams.

@WojYahooNBA Y! Sports has obtained list of All-Star reserves. Eastern Con: R. Allen, P. Pierce, R. Rondo, K. Garnett, C. Bosh, A. Horford, J. Johnson,

*I noticed Russell

TempBoy Brandon :Nice article. I’ve been hoping you’d write something like this lately, Royce. I really think KD is gonna start showing up on all the MVP watch lists now. And he better start getting more hype about it. I’m really tired of everyone just giving it to Rose. I think when all is said and done, it’s gonna be a close 3 way match between KD, Rose and LeBron.
On another note, KD now has 3 of the top 10 best individual games of the year, including 2 of the top 3, according to ESPN: http://espn.go.com/nba/gameleaders
So 6 of the 10 best games of the year come from KD, Russ and Blake Griffin. Go Oklahoma connections!

I noticed Riseel is on the top 23, 3 times.

Yeah, I don't pay much attention to Wilt's records. It's crazy that he didn't end up the all time scoring leader in points per game. He was at such a ridiculous advantage. I ignore those old records much in the same way that I ignore college football stats before WWII.

@justin
I was in London that season and only kept up via espn game recaps until the spring, when I could keep closer tabs. That was the season that brought me back to the NBA, but it took a while before I really bought in and started getting excited.

@anonymous
wilt was a different era, so while he was amazing it would be like lebron going to play high school basketball. So i use the advent of the 3 point line as my cut off for records that can be realistically broken.

@Sammy

Do you remember this game from that season: http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/200412170SEA.html

It was so hyped up by ESPN, the two good teams that nobody thought would be good. So many Sonics fans thought we'd win 60 that year up to that point.

@justin
5th in the league in eFG% is a little misleading. League average was .482 and the Sonics shot .495. So, obviously, we were shooting better than average. But there were seven teams grouped in the .489-.496 range and we were all a long ways away from the Suns (.534), Heat (.524), and Celtics (.504).

Fortson, Evans, and Collison just beat everyone up on the offensive glass. But they were also 5th in the league in eFG% thanks to the three pointers, above average on their own turnovers, and FT/FGA.

They were a lot like Portland is now. Super slow pace, so they allowed so few points. A lot of people in the media harped on how good the Sonics were compared to the Suns because they played defense, but the Suns DRTG was actually better than Seattle's that season. This kind of stuff still happens now, with national media people using points per game or opponent points per game without putting into context with pace.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/blog/ball_dont_lie/post/The-Clippers-gave-up-their-biggest-fan-s-seat-to;_ylt=AtnmdeG._UhgVHiCYx4auXu8vLYF?urn=nba-316578

OK, so you read this and you're like, poor Clipper Darrel, how could they do that?? But then don't you think, wait, does that mean he never has to pay for his tickets? Do they just let him in for free to cheer?

@Sammy
OK nvm, I'm discounting how awesome they were at crashing the boards. Their 32.4 OREB% would lead the league most years by a good margin.

justin :@Sammy

Also interesting that all of those teams are post hand check rules except one. Shows what affect those rule changes had on the game offensviely.

Interesting, I didn't make that connection. I'm looking at those 04-05 Sonics and I'm trying to figure out how the hell they did what they did. They had a 112.5 ORTG, second in the league only to the SSOL Suns. They shot decently, but not insanely well. They got a ton of ORebs. And they sucked at pretty much everything else. Just doesn't add up to me.

@Sammy

Also interesting that all of those teams are post hand check rules except one. Shows what affect those rule changes had on the game offensviely.

@gr8ball83
Well now you know its his coaches initials

@okc baby
I figured that, could only read the 35 though

@Sammy

Look at Miami on there too. Both teams with two high usage scorers, isolation driven offenses.

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