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OKC goes easy for once, beats Houston 116-99

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BOX SCORE

With three minutes left in the third quarter, Oklahoma City led by nine points. And in my notes I wrote down, “big three minutes here.” Because this game was going to swing one way or the other. Either it was going to go the way of the Philadelphia game and get closer than it should be, or the Thunder was going to put away a lesser opponent.

And heading to the fourth after those three minutes ticked off, the Thunder held a 14-point lead. Ball game, essentially over.

In fact, Kevin Durant, Serge Ibaka and Thabo Sefolosha checked out of the game late in the third and never had to re-enter. The Thunder’s second unit stretched the lead to as wide as 20 and finally, OKC took care of business the way they’re supposed to. Those terrific games against the Jazz and Blazers are a lot of fun, but my heart needed a rest and thankfully, OKC gave it one tonight.

Really, this game had the look that the Rockets were going to be fighting to hang in for most of it. The Thunder started the game with a flurry of energy, hitting shots, blocking shots and running the floor. The first quarter was really some of the most focused and on point play I’ve seen from OKC this season. Russell Westbrook immediately was in set-up mode from the tip, looking for teammates and moving the ball. He had five assists in the first 12 minutes and finished with 12 for the game. Nate Jones made an excellent point how Westbrook’s focus to involve teammates rubbed off on his mates and therefore had them sharing the ball.

Everyone was making the extra pass and best of all, it was the correct pass. Durant dished off two beautiful assists, one to Eric Maynor for 3 and another to Ibaka inside for a layup. For the game, OKC finished with 26 assists (season-high), but really, it was better than that. Before the game, I hoped to see a consistent 48 minutes of play where the Thunder really clicked. I definitely got my wish.

NOTES:

  • Serge Ibaka… just wonderful. 11 points, eight rebounds and four blocks in just 24 minutes. He had the jumper working again, but his interior defense was big time. This is the fifth straight game Ibaka has registered at least three blocks.
  • I think we’ve found our sharpshooter from outside. Eric Maynor! After going 2-3 against Utah, Maynor was there for the kick-out two more times for KD in this one, going 2-3 again.
  • Russell Westbrook was simply fantastic. Here’s how good he is: While trying to set up teammates and focus on sharing, he still put in 24 points. And how about that steal from Kyle Lowry after he had is taken from him? So Westbrook. You dare take it from me? GIVE ME IT BACK.
  • Durant was OK, but that’s all he had to be. He just played 30 minutes, scoring 24 points, including 17 in the first half. KD only took one free throw and was 11-21 from the floor.
  • Having Nick Collison back is so, so nice. The first thing I noticed was Collison’s pick and roll defense. It’s exquisite. He communicates so well and feels that better than anyone on the team. Plus, his screens for KD’s curls are just terrific. Never leave us again, Nick.
  • Yeah, my heart definitely stopped when KD went down in the first quarter.
  • Cole Aldrich was in a suit tonight. I don’t know why.
  • This is the first game in the last four tries that OKC hasn’t allowed its opponent to score 100. The Thunder held Houston to 46.8 percent (which is still a good percentage), but the second half defense was noticeably better. The Rockets could make anything outside of the paint, which was definitely helpful.
  • 17 turnovers for the Rockets to OKC’s eight. Definitely a big stat in this one.
  • How about D.J. White! Again, he saw meaningful minutes, but really put up a nice effort in 19 minutes. He finished with 12 points and three boards and provided some good play in key moments when Ibaka was in foul trouble. Maybe that’s why Serge is developing that jumper so well. D.J. White is teaching the art of it.
  • James Harden has a quality night. He’s coming around, slowly breaking out of his little sophomore slump. I’m not worried about him yet because he’s in an awkward place of figuring out how he fits into the rhythm of a game every night. Not easy for a young player.

OKC was in control early, let Houston get back in the game and then re-asserted itself and made this one a walk. Which was definitely nice. This is the first time this season the Thunder took care of business in an easy, non-stressful fashion. I think they’re straightening things out as we go along. Winning in a solid way is almost as important right now as beating a good team on the road. Almost.

Next up: OKC heads to Boston Friday to play the Celtics.

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@Arthur

I'd prefer Ibaka at PF more but I expect it will be Green starting at PF for the time being.

Who do you think should be start?

Who do you think should be start, Ibaka or Green??

Good win for Thunder last night

Westbrook is playing very well, and I'm in love with Ibaka's game

Sorry if I commit language mistakes, i'm braziliaan

@william
Roy Hibbert is on his rookie contract and playing like one of the top 5 centers in the country. Pretty sure we'd have to offer Durant for Indy to trade Hibbert at this point.

if Collison will need 5-6 million a year?? pay him now he is solid for this team.

do we have a chance to get ROY HIBBERT?? Trade geen or harden and aldrich for him?
Serge Ibaka and ROY HIBBERT protect the rim .it crazy!!!

Krstic might be in the same range or maybe higher, depending on if the bidding teams want him in a bigger scorer role.

@MartzMimic

Collison will probably get $3.5 -5 million a year, maybe flat rather than increasing. Not sure on years. I'd assume somebody will offer at least 3 years. 4-5? There might be somebody who does it but there probably would be a few (or none)and they might do that as an offset to the level of their salary offer.

@MastrMatt

Thabo was great against Utah on Monday. He seems more effective in half court settings.

@Qrex
That probably wasn't the best-worded question I've ever put forth, was it? I should have asked what an appropriate price tag would be for Collison.

As far as your question and without considering their individual contract implications, I'm thinking Peterson, Cook and Ivey are all fairly expendable. And I'm wondering what eventually happens to White and Mullens.

MartzMimic :@JustinIf Collison’s price tag isn’t too high, would you re-sign him?

Of course. But there is flexibility there with other players. Nick would be the preference for that role, though.

Sorry, posted too quickly.

I keep going back to something Mike Sherman said back when there was discussion of Nick being traded to the Spurs: "Just as soon as you let him go, you have to start looking for someone just like him." I know the hope is that Aldrich will eventually fill that role, but the question of whether or not he can may not be answered this season.

MartzMimic :@Justin

If Collison’s price tag isn’t too high, would you re-sign him?

Who would we not (re-)sign if their price tag wasn't too high?

@MartzMimic

I sure as hell would.

@Justin
If Collison's price tag isn't too high, would you re-sign him?

Anyone else think Thabo's defense has slipped a little this year? He seems to be getting beaten off the dribble a lot more than last year and picks up some dumb fouls. Harden did better again Martin last night. I don't know .. it just seems like Sef is becomng less of a lockdown guy. Still has flashes of brilliance (Bulls game), but isn't as consistent as in the past.

@Crow

Agree that's how it will go. I think Collison we'll have time on; looking at the free agents next year there's a lot of similar role players available.

I assume they make Green a offer in the first day or two of free agency, probably similar to what they've already offered, if they have made an actual offer, then they either get it done fast or not. Krstic and Collison are not going to want to wait long but they might be willing to wait a little while. But if there are teams hot to get them or Green might not be willing to wait, to try to squeeze the Thunder while Green is on cap hold and win one of them and perhaps avoid an extended back and forth bidding war. It will be a fairly high stakes multi-ring circus. If Green doesn't agree to terms with somebody early, he takes a risk of the big money running out before it gets to him. His agent knows the game well, though he may be rusty.

The CBA will need to be in place first though.

Did anyone see Joel Anthony airball that dunk yesterday? http://twitpic.com/37rc87/full

@DizzyDai

opponents 3pt FG% has been shown to be one of the most volatile stats, year to year even.

OKC will have cap space next year but in order for it to be functionally used, Jeff Green's situation (either way) will have to be worked out. So will Collison's and Krstic's, to a lessor extent.

@Dannyboy
He just answered that in the post above.

@Dannyboy

Jeff's QO is $5.9m

@justin
Just out of curiousity, what is Green's qualifying offer?

If Oden chooses to pursue an offer sheet elsewhere he will have to spend time with other team doctors. Either he'll have to have a target or a priority list to move down. He might show interest in the Cavs.

There are worse places to be than in your early 20s and having made $15-20 million but I'd rather it eventually work out alright on the court for him.

OKC still has two players in the top 10 points per game. Lebron is at 17.

@f5alcon

$5.9 million but there's no way Green plays for a QO. The big issue with Green for us is his cap hold, which will be ~$13M+. That's what he will count against our cap next offseason until we either re-sign him or he signs elsewhere (or we don't extend him a QO).

We were the worst in the league in opponents 3p% earlier this week. Now that honor belongs to the Clippers.

how much is the jeff green qualifying offer for?

I guess Justin's post covered that but I didn't key in on it and there can some overlap in postings. Worth reinforcing that point, maybe.

Assuming they pick up Andre Miller's option, they will have ~$67M committed next year with Greg Oden's QO on the books, without Joel Przybilla re-signed. Not that bad.

@Crow

Right. They might do it. It'd probably put them into the tax, especially if they are going to re-sign Przybilla. But I guess of all the owners in the NBA, Paul Allen is one not to mind that for a year.

From Larry Coon;s Salary Cap FAQ: "The qualifying offer must be for one season." So the risk is not long-term.

I don't think Portland wants to make that kind of a qualifying offer. The tone of the org. didn't sound great at all yesterday in the presser.

@justin

For most teams the Oden contract situation would be more difficult. I'd guess Paul Allen is fairly likely to want to keep him. But if not, they might try for a sign n trade.

@justin

Thanks for explaining Justin!

@DizzyDai

The qualifying offer MAKES the player RFA. Think of it like a deposit to secure the right to match offers in free agency.

@shiki=4 seasons

So "qualifing offers" for RFA are like Team Options?

@DizzyDai

No. For the Blazers to keep restricted free agency rights they must extend a qualifying offer to Oden, which would be the one year $8.7M. Oden would then be RFA, and is free to sign an offer sheet elsewhere for any amount, which the Blazers can choose to match. The Blazers can also choose to sign him to a contract during this period. All the qualifying offer does is ensure the Blazers maintain right of first refusal. If the Blazers don't extend a qualifying offer, then Oden would be unrestricted this offseason.

The tricky part for the Blazers is that if they extend a qualifying offer (to keep him RFA) there might be a good chance Greg Oden accepts it. Not sure they would want him on their team at that salary.

I tried to say it a moment ago but it is probably lost in moderation so I'll use another post to say thanks DizzyDai.

And I'll note that Westbrook was 3 for 10 from mid-range, so while he was active sharing the ball a lot of the time, there was still something left to be improved upon- shooting or passing.

@DizzyDai
But if Blazer dont offer him,he could be a free agent.

I'm not sure if I'm understanding the situation 100% correctly. Oden's 2011-2012 salary is a qualifiying offer of $8,788,681. So another team would have to offer a contract higher than that right? I can't imagine Oden settling on less on money. I don't think another team is going to offer more.

@AC

I and I think Joe or maybe others looked at recent past teams who had similar offensive and defensive efficiencies and maybe pace to what they had last season. I haven't done it with this season yet because I have serious doubts where they are think now on either is where they'll end up. but it would still be worth seeing / considering.

Does Portland still want this cloud hanging over their head? If they re-sign him and there's still all the push and pull of wiill or won't he come back, do they really want to do this for the years to come? That just doesn't bode well for a franchise.

I wouldn't discount Portland taking a "move on" approach.

@AC

AC, you'd find some of what you asked about at the Basketball Reference blog and in the Basketball Prospectus archives.

On my posts, I'll adjust a bit to add that the Thunder aren't exactly like last spring. The defense is worse than last spring. I can't recall many teams that went from strong defense one season to really weak in the next and back to strong in a a short time-period. The 2000-1 champ Lakers were one example though. The second Rockets title winner was a less extreme case. This season the Lakers' and Rockets' have both started slowly. The Lakers are likely to recover. The Rockets might not without some sort of personnel change and maybe pace change too.

@Ryan

I can't control what draws a response. I have written what I think is interesting to me or potentially useful to others. There are times when I write a lot. Yesterday those 3 posts were it. In game threads it is not uncommon for some others to also get into dozens. I might give it up some day soon or reduce the volume a lot and stay that way but as long as everyone can post however much they want and read however much they want I am not too apologetic about it.

The worst thing for Oden is the loss of important development time. Even when he was healthy, he had trouble staying on the court due to foul trouble. He'll be close to 24 years old at this point next year, with less than a season's worth of NBA games under his belt.

Crow has a point. Id take a last night Westbrook over the past 6 or 7 game Westbrook any day.

Anyone know who, if anyone, has done team-wide comps and similarity scores, like the ones for individual players but for teams and team composition? Its something I'd be interested in trying for a TN sometime soon.

@Ozark
Oh, I'm not discounting your theory a bit. And Justin's probably right about Portland matching anything I would consider reasonable. But again, the kid is just 22-years-old. There may yet be a couple serviceable years left.

@Ozark

We'll see what happens. Kenyon Martin had microfracture surgery on both knees, he's still injury prone but he's carved out a decent career since then. I don't think it's out of the question that Oden still could.

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