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Thursday Bolts – 9.30.10

Shoals on Jeff Green: “The problem is, the Thunder shouldn’t necessarily want to welcome back a revitalized Jeff Green. Even if he somehow takes a leap, and makes a case for himself as relevant beyond the construction of OKC’s system, Presti needs money for Westbrook, and Ibaka — while a more conventional big man — is also an absolute monster-in-training. It’s an awkward position for the organization to be in, and the closeness of the players certainly won’t help it. But Green is not as good as he is — or, once was — important. Even if he does live up to the reputation that he only incidentally helped create, the Thunder don’t necessarily need the services of Jeff Green 2.0. Some team might, but not them. The team’s evolution made him important. Ironically, though, it’s now made him irrelevant, even if Green turns into a superstar overnight.”

Darnell Mayberry on yesterday’s Thunder practice: “In two-plus years of covering the Thunder, I’ve grown to accept that when it comes to media availability for practice there are good days and bad days. Days when we get a good look at worthwhile things like schemes and things and days when we get shutout and see nothing but free throws. Not today. Today was a great day. Let me take it a step further. Today was the best Thunder practice I’ve ever attended. Now, let me be clear. That statement has absolutely no reflection on what kind of practice it was for the team. For the media’s purposes — and therefore the fans’ purposes — Wednesday’s morning session of the second day of two-a-days was an exciting mix of eventful, entertaining and enlightening.”

Q&A with KD: “Happy 22nd birthday. Feeling old yet? ‘No, man. Twenty two? God has led me for 22 years, so I’m very thankful. To celebrate with my teammates, and during practice, is even better.’”

How deep is the Thunder roster?

Dime talked with Mustafa Shakur: “Dime: Talk about your time with the Thunder who signed you to a 10-day contract. MS: They already had Russell Westbrook and Eric Maynor. There wasn’t a necessity for me to play. I think it was more of building a relationship with me and getting me acclimated to everything if they were to possibly sign me for the next year. I think I handled myself really well. If you talk to Sam Presti (Thunder GM), I think he will have nothing but good things to say.”

Russell Westbrook checks in at No. 24 on SLAM’s top 50 players: “Westbrook certainly isn’t the prototypical point guard, but for today’s game, he’s about right. Abnormally athletic – USA coach Mike Krzyzewski called him one of the elite athletes in the world this summer – and explosive, Westbrook is just as effective as a scorer as he is a playmaker. That’s the nature of the position now. The paint is where he makes his living, but he’s also developed something of a go-to move – his pull-up jumper with the defender on his heels, praying he doesn’t blow by.”

Art Garcia of NBA.com: “The Thunder graciously declined a chance to appear on NBA TV’s Real Training Camp. No offense, but they didn’t want the cameras and microphones peaking into the inner sanctum of practice. (They instead offered an all-access pass to the team’s open scrimmage.) Figuring they’re going to be on TV enough this season — 24 times, in fact — the more they could keep private, the better. This is a team fans want to love and the media want to cover. The organization, from general manager Sam Presti to coach Scott Brooks to Durant to the camper with no shot at making the squad, is accommodating and respectful. And humble.”

Former Thunder-er Malik Rose has been added to the Thunder’s studio crew and will serve as a studio analyst for select home and road games.

Chris Silva on the Thunder’s commitment to one end: “The Thunder’s offseason player development program is tailored in such a way that every player should return to Oklahoma City a better player than when he left. That encompasses just about everything one could imagine: players returned better shooters because they shot hundreds of jumpers a day. They came back in top condition because they participated in conditioning drills. They came back better ball handlers because they worked on various dribbling drills. And they returned as better defenders because … well, because they worked on their individual defense.”

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Chris Kaman just became one of my favorite NBA players.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Au008ZqKbyc&sns...

Sammy :Hypothetical question:Jeff Green is signed to the Thunder for a 5 yr / $44m dollar deal (either now or next summer, it’s irrelevant). What level of production would you want to see out of Green this next year to make you feel comfortable with that contract?

I'm not knowledgeable about what the standard production for that kinda contract. Personally, I would like 18+ pts, 7+ rebounds, .800+ free throws, and .380+ 3pt. I want Green to use his speed to spend more time attacking the rim, drawing fouls and converting. Essentially, I'd be happy if he could convert 5 pts nightly from the charity stripe and rebound a few more. Like Green said, "more assertive” and "more consistent.”

@Sammy

Andro? He kinda looks like a young Dwight.

Yes, there are not a lot of star PF aroung worth trading Green+Ibaka. Per 35 minutes, Ibaka stat is similar to Horford... not saying they are on the same level. I think Green+Ibaka is too much for Horford.
We had a chance to get Bosh last offseason, but somehow Presti/Bosh did not want it to happen.
Gasol? He is 30 years old and his salary is around 18M for 4 years. We may win championship with him, but we lost our cap flexibility. And he may start to decline in 2-3 years.
Brook Lopez is fine. But I want to see how Ibaka progress this season.
Lopez is fine.

@Keith
I actually think Lopez could play PF just fine.

Ha, Green and Ibaka, not Horford, though I wish.

@Gavin
Sorry I'm so late, but it's not a specific guy. And for that matter, most every start PF isn't going to be on the market. But if you want the names of some players for whom I'd trade Green and Horford, here goes:

Al Horford
Chris Bosh
Pau Gasol

There aren't a lot of star PFs to begin with, and Pau only makes the list because he plays next to a true center. Though I would trade for a star center just as easily (Lopez, Howard, maybe Bogut or Gasol).

@Gavin
Horford or Lopez would work for me.

This is a question to Keith

I would trade Green AND Ibaka for a star PF right now.

Which star PF do you want?

Hypothetical question:
Jeff Green is signed to the Thunder for a 5 yr / $44m dollar deal (either now or next summer, it's irrelevant). What level of production would you want to see out of Green this next year to make you feel comfortable with that contract?

Yikes. Hassan Whiteside's put on 25 lbs since Summer League and it shows.

That means he's now 260 lbs, up from his combine weigh in of 235. And it means he's committed to working out, which might mean he's more committed to improving himself than was suspected at the draft. Kings certainly know how to draft.

@DizzyDai
I don't ever expect Green to make that kind of leap rebounding-wise. Something like 22pt/8.5reb/3.5ast on good shooting percentages would be his tippy top ceiling and even then he'd be much better suited to be play SF (not that I would mind if he were turning in those numbers for us at PF). The chance he hits that ceiling is minute enough to make the conversation irrelevant for me.

I think if a lot of things go right, Green could be the third best player on a title team at SF. At PF a lot of his skills are wasted.

@James

Not a whole lot of minutes to back it up, but 82games says that

Westbrook-Sefolosha-Durant-Green-Ibaka had a +/- of -31 in 104.9 minutes
Westbrook-Harden-Durant-Green-Ibaka had a +/- of -7 in 77.8 minutes

Both units had a better defensive rating than our starting lineup, and the Harden one had a better offensive rating than our starting lineup.

Not a huge sample size, so take it with a grain of salt. Still worth noting.

@James

I don't think it's realistic to expect Green will become a "superstar" in the first place, but that was the context of Shoals article. Hence the unrealistic question :)

cpt :Why cant jeff green and ibaka play together? ibaka could play center as kristic. we dont have a real 30 minute a game type center on the roster we basically have a bunch of different types of power forwards and kristic.

I've been saying this for awhile. I think right now that is our best combo.

DizzyDai :What would be an “superstar” average for Green? 20 pts, 10 rebounds, .400 3pt%?

That is not very realistic. I would be happy with one of those. More happy with 10 rebounds or 40% on 3's. Either one of those would improve his value to the team tremendously.

@Anonymous

Not many players average 20/10. If more did, then 20/10 wouldn't be a very good indicator of a "superstar" which was what the discussion was about. It was not about what Green needs to do to merely be more useful to the team.

@DizzyDai

I dunno about PPG and RPG, but for Green to be recognized as a "superstar" on our team, he'd need to get his TS% above 0.580 and his DRR above 20.5

That probably results in less than 20 PPG but close to 10 RPG depending on his playing time and usage.

Why cant jeff green and ibaka play together? ibaka could play center as kristic. we dont have a real 30 minute a game type center on the roster we basically have a bunch of different types of power forwards and kristic.

What would be an "superstar" average for Green? 20 pts, 10 rebounds, .400 3pt%?

Sorry for all of the spelling errors I'm in a hurry.

Keith :@JamesI think everyone here would love to see Jeff Green elevate his game, even those who throw around biting criticism of him. No one hates Jeff as a person, it’s just hard to say a lot of nice things about him when he hasn’t found that niche you are talking about.

I think for the most part it is true. There are a few on here I think would not like him no matter what he did. He is close that what most give him credit for to being a solid player. If he was an above average shooter he would be solid, or if he was an above average rebounder, defender etc... Those are things that you can improve on. It's likely that he'll improve on all of them but if he got pretty good at any of them it would go a long way. I would really like to see him be successful and be here for a long time.

Keith :@James

I think everyone here would love to see Jeff Green elevate his game, even those who throw around biting criticism of him. No one hates Jeff as a person, it’s just hard to say a lot of nice things about him when he hasn’t found that niche you are talking about.

This.

@James
I think everyone here would love to see Jeff Green elevate his game, even those who throw around biting criticism of him. No one hates Jeff as a person, it's just hard to say a lot of nice things about him when he hasn't found that niche you are talking about.

I think the thing with Green is, he's going to have to find his niche (and pretty quick). In this league you are either an elite athlete (Dwight Howard, Josh Smith, Westbrook to some extent) or you develop a patented move/skill set (David West, Tim Duncan, Nick Collison). While Green is a very good athlete, he's not a good enough athlete to get by on athleticism alone. He is every bit athletic enough to focus on one or two aspects of his game and be an above average player. I'm not saying that is an easy thing to do but if he wants to reach that next level he's going to have to pick one or two things that he wants to excel at (rebounding and mid range jumper would make the most sense) and get much better at those.

I'm sick of seeing the negative Jeff Green comments. I would love to see him elevate his game this year. He's not that far away.

@Dan2
The issue with depth is that it loses value when the games matter (the playoffs). Your best players play more minutes which significantly limits the impact of your bench. The primary goal for teams is finding which players are their best. In our case, we built leads in the 2nd quarter because Westbrook and Durant played most of both quarters, and Harden-Ibaka-Collison were generally better as a team than Thabo-Green-Krstic.

The Spurs consistently win because they know Duncan-Parker-Ginobli are the best players on the team, and get them in the game as much as is reasonable. Being deep is more important to them in the regular season because age and injuries have to be monitored. In the playoffs, they are still putting their best foot forward as much as possible.

Westbrook is about to be on espn 2... If Anyone is interested

Its always good to hear optimism from training camp but I think every team/report is optimistic at every training camp, besides injuries. Everyone looks stronger, or shooting better, or has lost/gained weight/muscle. Until we start seeing preseason games I would hold my optimism.

As far as Green goes, I think we find a spot for him here if he really improves that much, if he just has a good defensive and rebounding center then he isn't that bad of a PF, it all depends on how much he thinks he should be paid. You don't need super players at every position, Boston took LA to 7 games without a superstar, but with 4 star players. I wonder if having players that would normally start come off your bench allows you to have less quality in your starters. Look at San Antonio, they put deep teams around Duncan and Robinson, and Duncan and Parker and Ginobili. Especially with teams like the Heat that aren't very deep, you can really take advantage when the other team's bench players are in. We did this a little last year, creating big deficient in the 2nd quarter due to superior bench play. Problem is, all these guys cost money so there is a limit on the number of good guys coming off the bench. But clearly roster flexibility is a huge priority for Presti.

@f5alcon
If I was a GM, I would write that incentive into every contract I gave out (assuming I didn't need the minute cap hold it creates at the time). I mean, who wouldn't feel good about having their GM say "maybe you could be the MVP one day."

nick collison has a bonus for getting mvp,lol

@Keith
@Mark!
Thanks for the explanations guys, it helps.

@Sas

As with everything related to salaries, it's complicated :)

Here's a pretty good explanation with a bent towards how incentives affect cap space: http://members.cox.net/lmcoon/salarycap.htm#Q64

@Mark!
Completely agree. If Jeff becomes a star PF (and the PF part is most important), there is absolutely no reason not to give him a fair contract. If we have a star PF, Ibaka's future isn't nearly as important to the team (though again he is unlikely to be cost-prohibitive). I would trade Green AND Ibaka for a star PF right now.

@Sas
Contractual bonuses are allowed in the current CBA, up to 25% of player's yearly salary. They can be based on player statistics, player awards, and team success. We could sign Green to a lower contract filled with bonuses, but I doubt Green's agent would be all that interested. If Green, in fact, moves to a 6th man role or begins reducing his playing time, performance bonuses are more and more unlikely to be achieved.

@Mark!
I agree with you on that. I think Harden would be more likely to be the one who'd want more money than Ibaka come resigning time, too.

Just curious, but does the NBA allow contractual bonuses? As in, "if the team gets to X round of the playoffs, you get $Y Bonus?" And the second, follow-up question to that is, of course, would Presti push Green to sign for a lower amount but give him a lot of said production related bonuses. Of course, if those are par for the course for every contract, then just ignore my query.

Shoals's piece is interesting, but I disagree on the same basis I disagreed with people unwilling to trade Ibaka for someone proven.

Ibaka could be a really good player and I love watching him. But something proven is better -- in my mind -- to a possibility. I'm not suggesting that Ibaka is somehow expendable or that I think we should sell on him... far from it. But if a decision came down to retaining Ibaka or getting someone proven, I'm taking the proven talent in most cases.

If Green becomes a "superstar" this year, I'd be hard pressed to think of a reason why I'd want to save money I might have to pay for Ibaka that I could pay for a superstar that wants to be here.

Incidentally, just how much do these people (those who write about paying Westbrook and Ibaka) think Ibaka is going to demand in two years? Unless something major happens, I don't see how Ibaka is going to be cost prohibitive. Kind of a moot point since we'll know much more about Ibaka after this season, but it's always made me scratch my head. I guess the expectation is for Ibaka to blow up and become a superstar himself? Is everyone on our roster destined for stardom? Talk about unrealistic optimism...

I'll vouch for you Mustafa! Good luck!

The McDonald's Bowl!!!!!!

@Big Cheese
Cheevo unlocked!