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Raptors vs. Thunder: Pregame Primer

vs.

Toronto Raptors (31-26, 10-17 road) vs. Okla. City Thunder (34-23, 17-11 home)

TV: FS Oklahoma (Cox 37, HD 722, Tulsa Cox 27, DirectTV 679, UVerse 753)
Stream: Click here
Radio: WWLS The Sports Animal (98.1 FM, 640 AM, 97.1 FM Tulsa)
Time: 6:00 CST

Offensive Rating: Thunder – 106.2 (17th), Raptors – 111.7 (3rd)
Defensive Rating: Thunder – 102.8 (3rd), Raptors – 112.1 (30th)
Pace: Thunder – 92.7 (16th), Raptors – 93.1 (11th)

View from the enemy: Raptors Republic

Chris Bosh is not coming to Oklahoma City. Not ever, just tonight. The Thunder’s catching a break as Bosh sat out Friday’s game with an ankle injury and didn’t travel with the team to OKC. The main difference between someone like Bosh not playing and Steve Nash is that Nash’s backup was the capable Goran Dragic. Bosh’s is Rasho Nesterovic. So yeah, that’s a little different.

Toronto is a team though that started the season poorly and was a few losses away from likely blowing everything up and starting over. But the team has come together and now is not only likely a playoff team in the East, but probably a tough out as well. They’re a great offensive team that basically doesn’t try on the other end (last in the league in defensive rating). But they score inside and out, rebound well and get just enough stops to win.

Toronto coming in: The Raps last played Friday night, losing to Cleveland. They’ve lost two straight and are 6-4 in their last 10. They are just 10-17 in the United States though, and this is a game they kind of need.

THE MATCHUPS
Since Bosh won’t play, Oklahoma City has a favorable matchup nearly across the board. The combo of Nenad Krstic, Serge Ibaka and Nick Collison is much better than Nesterovic, Reggie Evans and Amir Johnson. The Thunder SHOULD be able to dominate the glass.

Andrea Bargnani is a seven-footer with touch from the outside, above average passing abilities and a guy that can put it on the deck. People have forgotten about 2006′s top overall pick, but he’s become a quality 17-6 guy that can carry his team offensively night to night. He’ll surely be a tough match for Jeff Green, but Green will be hard on the defensively challenged Bargnani as well.

Hedo Turkoglu has good size to guard Kevin Durant, but he doesn’t have either the quickness or lateral movement to keep up with KD. And Turkoglu is loves that step-back jumper, which is something KD should be able to challenge with his length.

Again, since Bosh won’t play, it will take someone stepping up and supporting Bargnani for Toronto to win. And the Raps have capable guys to do just that. DeMar DeRozan can explode. Jose Calderon can get hot from outside. Turkoglu, of course. Or maybe someone like Sonny Weems.

This is one of those games the Thunder should absolutely take care of, which is strange considering that Raptors are a quality squad. But I’m mainly basing that on the fact that these are the type of home games OKC has performed well in. But if Chris Bosh were playing, this is a different story. And even if he doesn’t, the Raptors have enough talent to get it done. It’s offense vs. defense in this one, and I’m hoping the defensive-minded squad gets it done.

Tip at 6:00 CST. Go Sunday Thunder.

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For what it is worth Maynor-Durant is dynamite, about twice as good per minute as any of these other pairs and 4 times as good as Westbrook-Durant. But of course it is small sample and weaker competition presumably. But nice anyways.

The top 2 pairs on producing point edge per game are Durant-Harden and Durant-Collison even though they get less than half the opportunity in terms of minutes that some of the other pairs get.

There are a lot of ways to look at numbers. One way I just did was to look at top player pairs, the ones that are averaging better than +1 per game. There were only 14 pairs that met that standard. Here is a summary of how often guys appeared in those successful pairs:

R. Westbrook 6
K. Durant 7
J. Green 2
N. Collison 3
N. Krstic 3
T. Sefolosha 3
J. Harden 3
E. Maynor 1

I take this as another modest indicator that the core of core at this point is Westbrook-Durant, and while other guys are working well enough, none of the others is core of core, have to be absolutely locked in long-term. Based on what they are doing right now at least.

@shiki=4 seasons
We had 121 vs. NY in OT and 127 vs Washington in regulation.

Ths season high is 127 against wizard and it is the second if miss the game against NY with 1 OT

So Krstic, Ibaka and Collison win big on points scored by the trio but Toronto's big man trio wins pretty big on the glass. Good enough.

Is 119 season high?

justin :Russell’s final February #’s:
18.8 PPG 46.2% / 51.4% TS, 6.5 REB (2.3 OFF), 10.0 ASS / 2.3 TO (4.31 A:TO)
Crazy month. If he keeps this up he’s easily top ten PG, possibly higher. Needs to get the FG% up that’s about it.. can’t ask for much else.

RW's been playing good for sure... I think that's what Sam Presti saw in his mind when he draft RW...

The jumper looked really good though that's encouraging against anyone, especially the turnaround..

Osano-Whoa :
I seriously can’t say enough about Ibaka’s performance tonight. 13 points on 6-8 shooting, 10 rebounds, 4 blocks, and he even had an assist. And that’s in just 23 minutes. Imagine if he could start performing at that level with some consistency, and had 30+ minutes.

Is that the most minutes he has played all season? I think so... He is really progressing!

Ibaka was great but remember it was against the Raptors who are in contention for worst defensive team in NBA history.

Russell's final February #'s:

18.8 PPG 46.2% / 51.4% TS, 6.5 REB (2.3 OFF), 10.0 ASS / 2.3 TO (4.31 A:TO)

Crazy month. If he keeps this up he's easily top ten PG, possibly higher. Needs to get the FG% up that's about it.. can't ask for much else.

I seriously can't say enough about Ibaka's performance tonight. 13 points on 6-8 shooting, 10 rebounds, 4 blocks, and he even had an assist. And that's in just 23 minutes. Imagine if he could start performing at that level with some consistency, and had 30+ minutes.

cwilson :
That last squad that was on the floor should be called “4 rooks and an old dude”

Seconded.

That last squad that was on the floor should be called "4 rooks and an old dude" :)

Of course, I say that, and Russ comes in for Harden. Nevermind.

its great to know that mullens AKA bubmlebee can score against the seccond stringers of the leagues worst defensive team

Dear Brian Davis, Please don't start with that THE Ohio State University crap. Love, Keri

@Tapdog72
Ah, that's what I get for listening to FSN.

Given that Russ prolly isn't coming back in the game, I'm going to go ahead and say his assist-turnover ratio is fantastic:10 - 0. Love it.

MULLENS DOES IT AGAIN!

Holy shit. Hussle from Mullens.

@Sas
It's his second. His first was against the Lakers in November.

13 and 10 in 21 mins for Sergington Ibakason

Nice and easy game, exactly what we expected out of Toronto without Bosh (specially after that heartbreaker against Cleveland).

Serge is growing up guys, we have our big man! (I know, not so fast, but I can't help myself :p)

i want to see anderson!

Ibaka is 6-7 for 13 points. 10 rebounds. 2 blocks. That's crazy.

How can you call goaltending under the rim?!?

@Alexfromgermany
This is his first, I think.

how many double doubles has ibaka had?

Ibaka is gonna have to be in the starting lineup by next season at the rate he's progressing

God. Ibaka is having a crazy night on offense.

Again 4 rookies on the floor for the thunder

Mullens just clinched ROY.

HOLY MOTHER OF S***

MULLES ALLEY-OOP!!!!!!!!!

Wtf on that backhand rebound score from Ibaka. That was crazy.

What a tip-in by serge!

Oh my Gawd what a tip by ibaka there hahaha

What a sick putback by Serge!

Toronto with Bosh was the worst defensive team in the league.. without him I don't think I remember a worse.

Man. Our offense is rolling tonight.

29 points on 9-18 shooting by KD in only 32 minutes

Yet another delicious, efficient, potent offensive performance

damn this is like taking candy from a baby

Maybe DJ White gets in. Or Anderson.

Think it's time to take Green / Durant / Westbrook out.

This is one of those games where there is NO room for anything negative to be said about our team, and that includes KRISTIC

p.s. WHAT A PLAY from green to KD there