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Thunder at Lakers: Pre-game primer

okc2 vs. lal

Oklahoma City Thunder (13-38, 3-20) vs. L.A. Lakers (41-9, 23-4 home)

TV: FS Oklahoma (Cox 37, HD 722)
Radio:
WWLS The Sports Animal (98.1 FM, 640 AM)

Offensive Rating: Thunder: 103.4 (27th), Lakers: 114.5 (1st)
Defensive Rating: Thunder: 109.4 (21st), Lakers: 105.6 (7th)
Pace: Thunder: 93.6 (7th), Lakers: 94.3 (5th)

Ohhhh boy. Here. We. Go. Lakers and THUN-DA.

OK, so it’s not a marquee matchup yet, but I’m still pretty excited about it. The Lakers are the best team in basketball. The Thunder are no longer the worst. Should make for an awesome matchup, right? Joking aside, yes, I actually really do think it will be a good match.

First, you’ve got a potential Laker letdown. They’re coming off a tough six-game roadie with huge wins against Boston and Cleveland. Now they return home against the Thunder. I bet they didn’t even practice today. Thunder? We playin’ the Thunder? Second: One thing about OKC, other than playing really good ball right now, is that they get up against good teams and compete. It’s against the mediocre to bad ones that they mail it in.

Win or lose, here’s what Oklahoma City needs to focus on tonight:

1. Defend Kobe. I’m really excited to see where Kyle Weaver is at as a defender. We all know he’s got the ability to be a solid defender, but he doesn’t know the ins-and-outs of doing it yet. He needs to frustrate Kobe. Bump him. Push him. Hand in the face at all times. Weaver has done a nice job recently holding Brandon Roy to 12-27 shooting and Kevin Martin to 23 on 7-16 shooting. I think he has a chance to contain him. The goal is to keep Kobe off the free throw line (eight times or less) and have him shoot below 40 percent. If OKC can do that, that’s a major victory.

2. Be in it at halftime. The Lakers are going to go on a run. But the Thunder needs to make sure to weather the storm (ha!). I have a feeling the first quarter score will look something like 35-22 in favor of L.A. OKC needs to play a smart second quarter and be down something like six to nine points. Mentally, that would be huge for the second half.

3. Hold the Lakers to under 105 points. The Thunder has been playing solid offense lately. But I don’t think there’s any way to get into an offensive slugfest with the Lakers. They have just too much firepower. The Lakers lead the league in scoring at almost 109 a game and that’s with the fifth highest pace in the league. OKC did a decent job of slowing the pace and executing against the Blazers. Maybe that’s a key tonight – slow down, execute and limit L.A.’s possessions.

4. Outrebound them. Little things are key. L.A. has a big front line and rebounds well. But guys like Nick Collison don’t care if they’ve got Andre the Giant standing in front of him, he’s going to get that dang rebound. Everybody needs that attitude.

5. Get to the line. The best and easiest way to score. Free points could be the difference in keeping it close or watching the Lakers coast.

6. Turn it over fewer than 15 times. The Thunder has to get up every shot they can. No wasted possessions. I would say 10, but come on, I don’t think that’s reasonable.

7. Do better than “decent” on the blocks against Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom. The Lakers love to score in the paint. Odom was a monster there against the Cavs and Gasol is averaging something like 26 and 13 since Andrew Bynum went down. I think Jeff Green matches up decently against Odom, but Gasol will be a handful.

8. Get some easy buckets. I don’t think OKC should really “run” all game long, but easy buckets are key. Russell Westbrook really needs to attack and create and hopefully the Thunder can get a good amount of baskets that they didn’t really have to work for. The Lakers made have some heavy legs after their six-game gauntlet and may be looking ahead to Utah tomorrow. The Thunder may be able to sneak some easy buckets in and they’ll need to because I just don’t think OKC is equipped and ready to take on the Lakers for 48 minutes in the half court.

9. Just have a chance. That’s it. In the fourth quarter, I want to be watching and still reasonably thinking, “OK, get a stop and bucket here and we could do this. Just get a stop.” Just give yourselves that experience of being in it against the Lakers on the road and you can go back to the hotel feeling good about it. OKC isn’t there yet. But it’s getting closer. And just confidence wise, it would be nice to hang in this one.

All of that could happen and OKC still lose by double-digits. But that’s because the Lakers are the league’s best team right now. The Thunder are still a ways off. Tonight should be a good measuring stick. OKC needs to just focus on doing what it can control. Make the plays they’re capable of and whatever happens, happens. I really do think the Thunder will hang tight, but on the road against a great team, I doubt there’s enough to win. If the game is close inside four minutes, the Lakers will snap out of it and finish strong to put OKC away. But the point is, make them snap out of it. Give yourself that chance.

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I hope they try and defend Durant with Walton a whole bunch, but I wouldn't bet on it.

If I were the Lakers, I would sag off Weaver all day until he made me pay with jumpers. Weaver either drives or shoots threes, there's really been nothing else.

I don't mind Green/Odom. Odom is sort of streaky, but so is Green. Westbrook/Fisher-Farmar is a good matchup for us, but like Jax said, the Triangle is a different animal. Hopefully Brooksy has the guys watching some tape. LA is averaging 119 offensive efficiency the last five games, and 110 defense for a +9. Their 119 is tops in the league, just incredibly hot offensively. We are about 114 offense and 116.5 defense last five. So we can be in the same ball park offensively, but we definitely need to take it to a new level defensively to be in the game tonight.

@AD
LMAO Great Comment AD

Ya gotta love this pic of Bryant and Durant from last year:

http://lakersblog.latimes.com/lakersblog/images/20...

Ok, Kobe's arms are meatier, but... Durant's stat sheet is packing a lot of beef!

Tornadoes in Feb. Just your usual thing.... NOT!

I'd be thrilled with a 104-97 loss or something like that. I don't know if that's possible, because like you said Kurt, I think L.A. will just wear OKC down.

I think the Thunder will hang in this, at least for a half. The Lakers are not great at stopping threes who can drive he lane, unless they are really focused for it. I expect Durant will get some early buckets but see a lot more defenders, and a lot more Trevor Ariza, in the second half.

You are right about the runs. The pattern lately for the Lakers in games like this (ones that on paper they should win) is to have a couple big runs, usually late in the second or at the start of the third, that turn a five-point game into a 15 point game before anybody knows what happened. And the bench often does this, the Lakers are insanely deep. That wears on teams.

I will add, we hoops fans in LA are looking forward to seeing Durant in person.

Uh, actually, no it’s not. It’s LOS ANGELES. Look it up.

(insert rolling-eyes smiley here)

dude... it wasnt meant to be literal... but thanks.

"HEY… It is Hollywood you know."

Uh, actually, no it's not. It's LOS ANGELES. Look it up.

Tornado time in Oklahoma. Wooooo!

Russell Westbrook as "Jet-Zero"...
Kevin Durant plays "Kid-Delicious"...
Jeff Green as "Double-Deuce"...
Nenad Krstic as "Krispy Nads"...
Nick Collison as... well... "Nick"....
Chris Wilcox as always plays "Weezy"...
dont forget "Earl the Pearl" played by Earl Watson...
We've got "Chucky Popcorn" by Chucky Atkins...
Kyle Weaver the "Bull-weeval"...
Joe Smith plays his role of "Joe-Automatic"...
and Coach Brooks plays the young spikey haired coach that puts it all together....

HEY... It is Hollywood you know.

Top to bottom, the Lakers have the best roster in the league. We usually play 8 guys, and after that, the talent level drops off like a cliff. Not the Lakers, they're strong 10 deep.

Also, Weaver and Westbrook are great on the ball defenders, especially for rookies, but this is a different offense than the ones you normally see. The triangle could throw our defense for a loop.

No one can guard Kobe one on one. If Kobe wants to, he can score 50 at home tonight. We lost to the Clippers and the Kings playing them on the road. Now we have the Lakers. I don't think we'll lose by 40 like we did earlier in the year to the Cav's, but with our defense slipping lately, it doesn't look good.

What I want to see is the competitor in Durant. Against the Clippers in LA, he took that game over. I want to see that will power tonight. He may be down by double digits, but I want to see that drive, that spark, that competitive fire on display.

Westbrook has been in a small slump since Mason's injury, so I want to see him get back on track in his old neighborhood. Green should have a typical night for him tonight, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Odom get a double-double. Green is improving on defense, but Odom is a tough assignment. Sometimes though, Odom mails it in, and it wouldn't surprise me to see him overlook this game, especially given the game he had against the Cavs. If anyone takes a game or two off, it's Odom. And Gasol is going to kill us in the paint. Collison is a good player, but he won't stop Gasol. Neither will Joe Smith or Kripsy (if he even plays tonight, he might still be out sick) or anyone else we have.

I just hope we come out with our A game. If we do that, we can hang with the big boys for a while. I dont' see us winning this game, but losing by single digits would satisfy.

Good points. Looks like a good strategy.

#1 is very hard, but Kobe may not play or may only play limited minutes, so it may be less troublesome than ordinarily. The rest of the points I think we do well on except #6 which worries me.

I think both Durant and Westbrook are going to give them real problems. Durant is a machine and Russ has jets in his shoes. The Lakers are probably a bit tired.

Trackbacks

  1. [...] to think OKC can win this one other than the Ford Factor. The Thunder’s going to have to nail all 10 things I wrote about in the last Laker pre-game, which is no easy task (they got seven of them last time and still lost by seven). But what the [...]